Pardon me the cynicism, but who won the first Test?
Not England although if you had the misfortune to be stuck
in England with only newspapers and websites to read you would have thought the
Poms had hanged, drawn and quartered the All Blacks at Eden Park last weekend.
Now, with their A team on board, the popular view of
England's press, who never have to play these games, will be that the win will
surely be achieved in Dunedin on Saturday night.
England are ready to make a series of it.
Coupla things to think about.
The All Blacks will not be so far off the mark as they were
in Auckland this time around.
Nothing quite focuses the All Blacks' minds more than a below par
performance. Their ability, their manhood, their right to wear the jersey has
been questioned. Not challenges to be issued lightly by visitors.
Dry ground in Dunedin. Now there is no doubt the Pom backs
are well capable of throwing the ball around to good effect. Even when England
were thrashed by the All Blacks in the 1995 World Cup semi-final in Cape Town
they still managed to score four tries. Whether their backs of the moment are
as good as Rory Underwood, Will Carling and Jeremy Guscott is another matter.
But the difference for New Zealand lies in the ball-handling
of the forwards. Here there is an ocean of ability between the sides and the
tide runs in favour of the home team.
And Manu Tuilagi, bullocking runner that he is. He has been
compared to Jonah Lomu! He's not even in the same home straight as the
legendary wing.
Wonder how Tuilagi goes at turning around to tidy up kicks
behind him?
The big question is how long it will take either of the
Aarons, Smith or Cruden, to sort that one out? I'm picking it will be very
early in the piece. Mind you, some thinking outside the box, pardon the pun –
older readers will understand that quip – could be not to send a kick his way
at all, so that he is left wondering when it is going to come.
Then there's the need to field high kicks. Whenever this
thought process is involved it is hard not to go past: possums, headlights,
Quade Cooper, Richard Kahui, World Cup semi-final in 2011, if you get my drift.
Some predictions for the game: the haka will be questioned yet again by the Pom media (after all these years they still don't get it)
, the game will be all-action, the referee will be the target of
English media criticism win or lose, some England player will do something
silly under the pressure of the occasion, Owen Farrell will struggle with
goal-kicking in the stadium, Liam Messam will be much more obvious around the track
and Jerome Kaino will be an even greater target for England attention than
Richie McCaw, who will revel in the subsequent freedom.
It should be a cracker.
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